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2024-12-14 00:43:25

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.Russian Foreign Minister: It's not the first time that Ukrainian President refused to propose a ceasefire. On December 12, local time, the Russian Foreign Ministry reported that Hungarian Foreign Minister Sergei Jardot had spoken with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and told Ukrainian President Zelensky that he had rejected the Hungarian proposal for a temporary ceasefire and an exchange of prisoners of war in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Lavrov said that this is not the first time that the Ukrainian authorities rejected the relevant suggestions made by other countries after releasing their own signals. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union has come to an end. We have made the latest efforts for peace and proposed a ceasefire on December 25th and a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ".


Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association: Boosting consumption ranks first in the key work next year. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association and founding president of the National Research Institute of New Economics, told reporters that boosting consumption is the top priority of economic work next year, ranking first in the key work next year, which is based on the new changes and new demands of the current economic situation. Among the specific measures to boost consumption, the highlights include the implementation of the special action to boost consumption, the implementation of the "two new" policy, and greater support for the "two new" projects. These measures are aimed at promoting consumption growth in an all-round way by optimizing the consumption environment, increasing consumption supply and improving consumption quality. (SSE)Israel Defense Forces: Syria's air defense system has been seriously damaged; More than 90% of Syria's surface-to-air missiles have been destroyed.The test drive of Jiyue Direct Store is locked and can't be tested. "The test drive has been locked and can't be tested. It is meaningless to see the car now." On December 12, a staff member of a Jiyue Auto Direct Store in Minhang District, Shanghai told reporters. When asked about vehicle maintenance and after-sales, the staff did not give an answer and immediately walked into the office. In fact, since December 10th, there have been news that "the shareholders of Extreme Vietnam will no longer invest" and "Extreme Vietnam will close the vehicle business". Xia Yiping, CEO of Jiyue Automobile, explained in an internal meeting on December 12 that the company's account has been frozen, but it is still seeking financing. The company has not shut down or closed down, and the warranty and software services of the whole vehicle will not be interrupted. (Shell Finance)


According to the report, the Israeli Air Force has completed the investigation of the October 7 incident and will submit it to the Chief of Staff next week.Sony rose more than 2% and hit a new high. Institutions are optimistic about its unique positioning. SONY.US rose more than 2%, hitting a maximum of $22.67, a record high since February 2022. Sony's Japanese shares rose nearly 3% today, once again hitting a record high. In the news, Sony previously announced that for the current fiscal year that will end at the end of March next year, the expected operating profit will reach 1.31 trillion yen, about six times that of fiscal year 1999. Among them, the entertainment business is expected to contribute 60% of the overall profit, while the electronic business is no longer reported as a department alone. Yasuo Nakane, head of global technology research at Mizuho, explained that Sony has a horizontal axis in film, music, games and animation, and a vertical axis from production to distribution. The company also has electronic technology, including image sensors, cameras and software, which makes it in a unique position compared with Apple, Netflix or Samsung.Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.

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